Iran
The Radar Plane Is No Longer Enough
August 13, 2026
Lead AnalysisRussia//John Hendricks//August 17, 2026
Is Russia Sabotaging Europe’s Ammunition Factories?
Two explosions in four days hit plants tied to Europe’s ammunition network. Moscow has attacked this infrastructure before, and the EU was already paying to defend it.
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Iran//August 13, 2026
The Radar Plane Is No Longer Enough
Ukraine built the cheap sensor layer, Western firms are moving radar onto unmanned aircraft, and the Pentagon is betting on space. Air surveillance is becoming a stack rather than a single platform.
John Hendricks
Iran
The Threat Inside NATO
A decoy Air Force One flight revealed what Washington believes about Iranian operational reach inside NATO territory. No official document will ever state it as plainly.
Russia
Ukrainian Drones Are Hunting Russia’s Land Bridge to Crimea
Moscow hardened Crimea’s supply lines against another Kerch Bridge strike. Cheap long-range drones are turning that redundancy into exposure.
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Iran
The Magazine Math
The Iran campaign did not empty the Pacific arsenal. It emptied the shelf slowest to restock, and the plan to refill it from another direction runs through a supply line Beijing can shut.
June 3, 2026Russia
The Drone Does Not Have to Be Steered
Russia’s advantage on NATO’s eastern flank is not control of every drone. It is the political crisis created when no one can prove why the drone crossed.
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The Same Corridor
Belarus turned its frontier into a multi-use pressure system. Migrants, tunnels, drones, balloons, and saboteurs are different payloads moving through the same operating space.
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Ukraine’s Drone War Has Crossed the Saturation Line
The May 17 attack on Moscow was not a capital story. It was a production story. Ukraine has built enough long-range drone volume to make Russian air defense the constrained resource.
May 18, 2026